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Why Do The Election Odds Differ From Polls? Eight Explanations
“US elections are incredibly dramatic affairs. Scandal and smear campaigns are guaranteed.”
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Democrat Convention: Biden’s Big Tent is Very Smart Strategy
“I’m particularly struck by Kasich’s support, as it is coming from a frontline politician. A former Governor of a bellwether state – Ohio.”
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US Election: Trump v Biden Betting Update
“In a more conventional two-horse race than 2016, Trump needs extra voters. There is nothing in the numbers to suggest he suddenly wins over opponents who strongly disapprove in record numbers, consistently.”
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Electoral College Betting: Biden Is On Course For A Landslide
These maths are precisely why it pays to keep up with the state-by-state picture, and to understand the relation to the outright odds.
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Democrat VP Betting: Can we trust the Kamala gamble?
This really has been a cracking market, packed with uncertainty and betting drama.