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North Shropshire By-Election: Has the market over-estimated Tory troubles?
The race for second was frequently close. The Lib Dems were second during the Thatcher/Major years, peaking with 31.6% in 1983…That sideshow may be more relevant to Thursday’s outcome than first appears.
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Boris Johnson Betting: Tory Conference feels a long way off for a PM under siege
The safest bet is the 2022 option. Why? Because generally after a leader stands down, they stay in post throughout the subsequent leadership contest. That could take three months.
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What on Earth is Happening in North Shropshire?
It smacks of the 2019 general election, when attempts to co-ordinate Labour and Lib Dem tactical votes proved farcical.
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Old Bexley and Sidcup By-Election Betting Preview – The Political Gambler
There is a theory that Labour will flood the area with activists, given the close proximity to London. I simply can’t see how that would cut through their fundamental weaknesses.