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  • Coming soon

    This is Paul’s Substack.

  • Extensive Interview on Political Betting with Smart Betting Club

    We discussed a whole range of issues around political betting. How to find angles. Tips on how to analyse markets and avoid making mistakes. I discussed numerous previous elections and betting strategies

  • Politics Live Update: Trump 2024 odds in freefall as troubles pile up

    Politics Live Update: Trump 2024 odds in freefall as troubles pile up

    In my latest update for Betfair’s Politics Live blog, I focus on the betting for the 2024 US Presidential Election, and in particular, the rapidly fading chances of Donald Trump being re-elected. Long-term readers will already know I’ve always been very cold – freezing, even – on his chances. The betting has been moving that…

  • Politics Live – Rolling Betting News Blog via Betfair

    Politics Live – Rolling Betting News Blog via Betfair

    First, an update. You may have noticed this blog’s disappearance over the past six months or so. This was due to a hack. Followers of my Twitter account may have some theories about that, but, as Francis Urquhart would say “I couldn’t possibly comment.” Happily, we’re now back up and running. WordPress have made some…

  • 3 Common Mistakes Everyone Makes at Casinos

    3 Common Mistakes Everyone Makes at Casinos

    Experts and experienced players understand that you must split your bankroll up into smaller increments so you can play enough to have a good chance of winning. For example, each betting round should take up no more than 5% of your total budget for that evening.

  • Five Tips For Aspiring Professional or Semi-Pro Gamblers

    Five Tips For Aspiring Professional or Semi-Pro Gamblers

    This article first appeared here at casinovalley.ca on 11th September 2020 1: Plan a Tight Work Schedule Genuinely professional gamblers are rare, but my experience proves it is possible. Many more have the expertise to consistently make a profit but prefer to keep their gambling as a side income to their main job. That was…

  • Mike Pence Won’t Be The Last Outsider Gamble of 2020

    Mike Pence Won’t Be The Last Outsider Gamble of 2020

    This piece first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 29th June 2020 Two months ago, the Betfair odds implied there was a 10% chance that the Next President would be somebody other than Donald Trump or Joe Biden. Despite no challenge materialising to either and the latter securing a majority of delegates to become the presumptive Democrat…

  • Enjoy All the Latest Games at Winner Casino

    Enjoy All the Latest Games at Winner Casino

    Winner Casino was established in 2009 and has amassed a large membership of players. Its motto is “Whatever your game, be a Winner!”. Their game selection and fantastic promotional offers are sure to impress you. The Winners Casino is one of the most popular choices for both new and long-time players. Everyone can find something…

  • Will Coronavirus derail Trump’s re-election bid?

    Will Coronavirus derail Trump’s re-election bid?

    Sport may be cancelled but politics carries on as usual. In fact coronavirus is generating even greater focus on the 2020 US Presidential Election. Betfair markets souring on Trump re-election Over the past fortnight, the odds about Donald Trump winning a second term have drifted markedly. From a low of [1.64], equivalent to a 61%…

  • US Election – Who will be Joe Biden’s VP Pick?

    US Election – Who will be Joe Biden’s VP Pick?

    This article first appeared at Betfair Australia’s The Hub, on 13th March 2020 Following another slew of victories for Joe Biden on Super Tuesday 2, the Democrat Nomination looks all but finished as a betting heat. The former Vice President is now a mere $1.09 for the nomination and $2.28 for the presidency. Bernie Sanders…