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Was last week good or bad for Joe Biden?
This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 12th November, 2023. This time next year, we will be poring over the results of the US Presidential Election and Congress. 2023 was an ‘off year’ for national elections but this week still had some big races and significant results.The news was overwhelmingly good for Democrats. Democrats outperforming…
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Extensive Interview on Political Betting with Smart Betting Club
We discussed a whole range of issues around political betting. How to find angles. Tips on how to analyse markets and avoid making mistakes. I discussed numerous previous elections and betting strategies
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Politics Live Update: Trump 2024 odds in freefall as troubles pile up
In my latest update for Betfair’s Politics Live blog, I focus on the betting for the 2024 US Presidential Election, and in particular, the rapidly fading chances of Donald Trump being re-elected. Long-term readers will already know I’ve always been very cold – freezing, even – on his chances. The betting has been moving that…
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Should We Bet on the Mandelson Dim Supper Forecasts?
I’m at complete odds with the entire panel and rate No Overall Majority a cracking bet (or trade) at [2.58].
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Politics Live Update: Biden charging forward in 2024 betting
My latest update to Betfair’s Politics Live focuses on the Democrat Nomination for the 2024 US Election. I’ve been tipping Joe Biden for this and in the presidential market for months. Following a respectable performance at the midterms for Democrats, his odds are shortening rapidly. Furthermore, this morning I updated that advice with the following…
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Episodes 7 and 8 of Get Out The Bet: 2024 Market Moves
We are now on a break until the New Year, after which time we will be looking in greater depth at the 2024 US Presidential Election. Here, however, are the two final episodes of 2022. In the first we discuss Donald Trump’s announcement that he will run for president again and whether Joe Biden is…
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The Polling Station: Trump Runs Again
What a year it has been in the world of political betting. Hopefully those following us will have profited from Boris Johnson leaving office early (predicted consistently on these pages too).
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Buckle up for Trump’s dramatic final series
The Republican establishment now believe they have a superior candidate in Ron DeSantis, whose 20% margin re-election in Florida sent the strongest signal possible.
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Get Out The Bet E6: Midterm elections review
Out today, I look back at the midterms results (or state of play) with Melissa Caen and Patrick Everson in our latest episode. Overall, I think these results largely vindicate our collective analysis, laid out in the first five episodes of our new series. If you would like to check back and hear how our…
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US Midterm Elections: Final predictions and markets to follow in-play
The full article is available, free of charge, at betting.betfair.com This is a huge day in US politics, with voting underway for the Senate and House of Representatives. At stake, control of Congress at a pivotal moment in US and world history. It has profound implications for Joe Biden’s presidency and re-election chances in 2024.…