Electoral College Votes: 4
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Most famous for it’s pivotal ‘first in the nation’ primary, NH is another key plank of Clinton’s firewall. Polls consistently put her ahead but it is worth remembering that she lost this primary to Bernie Sanders, whereas victory on the GOP side propelled Trump towards the nomination, following defeat in the opening Iowa Caucus.
Voters are notoriously independent here, so it is no great surprise to see Gary Johnson’s Libertarian candidacy faring well in the polls and the resilience of his support could prove decisive. There is also a very tight Senate race taking place, in which reluctant, wavering support for Trump from Republican Kelly Ayotte provides an interesting sub-plot.
Click here to read my analysis of 15 key states for @BetfairExchange;