Political betting on the US Election: Complete portfolio


All bets to be listed here. Click the link on each bet for the original advice and reasoning

Backed Scott Walker for Next President 4 units @ 26 (4%)

Laid Scott Walker for Next President 3 units @ 32 (3%)  (1 unit loss overall on Walker)

Backed Ben Carson for Next President 4u @ 65 (1.5%)

Backed Carly Fiorina for Next President 4u @ 60 (1.5%)

Backed Ted Cruz for Republican Nomination 5u @ 30 (3%)

Backed Ted Cruz for Republican Nomination 10u @ 25 (4%)

Laid Ted Cruz for Republican Nomination 25u @ 6 (17%) (Secures minimum 10 units profit, leaving 250 units extra available)

Backed Ted Cruz for Republican Nomination 20u @ 8 (12.5%) (New Cruz balance is 10 units risk, for 400 units profit).

Laid Ted Cruz for Republican Nomination 20u @ 8 (12.5%) (New Cruz balance is minimum 10 units profit, leaving 250 units extra available)

Backed Ted Cruz for Republican Nominee 20u @ 7.4 (14%) (New Cruz nominee balance is 10 units risk, for up to 388 units profit). 

Laid Ted Cruz for Republican Nominee 50u @ 3.0 (33%) (New Cruz nominee balance is 40 units or 288 units profit).

Backed Ted Cruz for Next President 10u @ [30.0] (3%) 

Backed Hillary Clinton for Next President 60u @ 1.78 (56%)

Laid Hillary Clinton for Next President 54u @ 1.96 (51%) (6 units loss overall on Clinton)

Backed Paul Ryan for Republican Nomination 2u @ 400 (0.25%)

Laid Paul Ryan for Republican Nomination 10u @ 22 (5%) (New Ryan balance is minimum 8 units, with an extra 481 units profit available).

Backed Bernie Sanders for Next President 15u @ 24 (4%)

Laid Bernie Sanders for Next President 15u @ 11 (Leaves risk free position to win 195 units)

Backed Bernie Sanders for Next President 10u @ 14 (7%)

Laid Bernie Sanders for Next President 30u @ 9.6 (10%) (Secures minimum 20 units profit, leaving risk-free position to win 47 units)

Backed John Kasich for Next President 3u @ [240.0] (0.4%)

Laid John Kasich for Republican Nomination 3u @ 50.0

Backed Marco Rubio for Next President 25u @ 8.4 (12%)

Laid Marco Rubio for Next President 25u @ 4.2 (24%) (Leaves risk-free position to win 105 units)

Backed Marco Rubio for Next President 25u @ [8.4] (12%)

Laid Marco Rubio for Next President 35u @ 8.0 (12%) (New Rubio balance = 10 units profit or 45 units if becoming President)

Laid Donald Trump 10u @ 5.2 (19%) for Next President.

Laid Donald Trump 10u @ 5.4 (18%) for Next President

Laid Donald Trump 40u @ 3.3 (31%) for Next President

Laid Donald Trump 50u @ 4.8 (21%) for Next President

Backed Hillary Clinton 100u @ 1.58 (63%) for Next President 

Backed Donald Trump 100u @ 1.38 (73%) for Republican Nominee

Backed Nikki Haley 2u @ 1000 (0.1%) for Republican Nominee

 

Vice Presidential Picks

Laid John Kasich 12 units @ 4.0 for Republican VP Pick

Laid John Kasich 8 units @ 5.5 for Republican VP pick

Laid Ben Carson 4 units @ 13.0 for Republican VP Pick

Backed Chris Christie 4 units @ 16.0 for Republican VP pick

Backed Mike Pence 3 units @ 34.0 for Republican VP pick

Laid Mike Pence 10 units @ [7.0] for Republican VP pick (Secures 7u profit, leaving extra position for 32 units if Pence wins).

Backed Tom Perez 5 units @ 11.0 for Democrat VP pick#

 

Electoral College Votes

Backed Clinton 330-359 25u @ 6.0

Backed Clinton to win -49.5 handicap 20u @ 1.73

Backed Clinton to win -99.5 handicap 25u @ 3.1

Backed Democrats to win 30 or more states 50u @ 3.0

 

Profit/loss

Iowa: +30 units

New Hampshire -4 units

South Carolina GOP +7.2 units

Nevada Dems -5 units

Michigan GOP -2.8 units

Missouri GOP -10 units

Republican Nominee +87 units

Republican VP Nominee +59 units

Democrat VP Nominee -5 units

Nevada General Election +12 units

Arizona General Election -4 units

Next President -308 units


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