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Five reasons why Ted Cruz is the best current bet
1) Cruz is well-positioned in the polls for when the field whittles down The picture regarding who will be the Republican Nominee remains as unclear as ever, with 15 candidates still in the race. The crowded field has worked to the advantage of outsiders, whose pitch is that bit more interesting and newsworthy than conventional…
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7 reasons why Jeb Bush won’t win the Republican Nomination
With an enormous election war chest, winning record and instant name recognition, Jeb Bush has been red-hot favourite on Betfair for the Republican Nomination ever since declaring. Paul Krishnamurty, however, believes his bid is ultimately doomed, for the following seven reasons. 1) Early favourites in recent GOP contests have a terrible record Betting markets have…
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Marco Rubio is the big market mover on Betfair
Florida senator closes in on Jeb Bush for GOP favouritism With Donald Trump on the wane and Jeb Bush stalling in the race to be Republican nominee, political gamblers have been scratching around for better-priced alternatives. Down the field outsiders Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina, recommended here at around 1.5% apiece for the Presidency, are…
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Carly Fiorina rising fast after debate win
Businesswoman steals the show from Donald Trump From the early market reaction there’s no question about who ‘won’ last night’s second Republican debate. In line with almost universal good reviews, Carly Fiorina is storming up the markets. The former CEO of Hewlett Packard is now trading at [11.0] or 9% for the nomination, [30.0] (3%)…
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Ben Carson is a better value bet than Trump
In my latest #election 2016 update for @BetfairExchange; I make the case for a bet on outsider Dr Ben Carson and to keep an eye out for the emerging Carly Fiorina. Like Donald Trump, neither are politicians and therefore able to make capital from the groundswell of anti-Washington sentiment within GOP ranks. Unlike Trump, their…