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2024 US Election Betting: Will History Repeat Itself?
This article first appeared at casino.org on 24th January 2022 The finale is 33 months away but the biggest market in world betting is already heating up. £1.6BN was traded on Betfair when Donald Trump and Joe Biden faced off in 2020, smashing the previous all-time record – set by Trump and Hillary Clinton in…
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The Six Biggest Betting Heats to Follow in 2022
My view is Johnson will resign around May, after tax, NI and energy price rises contribute towards a disastrous set of local election results.
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Odds Moving on News of Biden’s Plans for 2024
News broke this weekend that allies of Joe Biden report that the President intends to run for a second term in 2024. If true, this has significant impact on the betting and I’ve duly updated various odds for www.betonline.ag – for whom I hold a consultancy position. First in our ‘Biden to Complete a Full…
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New markets for the 2024 US Election now live at betonline.ag
As some readers will already know, one of my roles is now as a betting consultant for betonline.ag. In particular, creating political betting markets and setting the lines. With the November elections over, we’ve begun to expand our lines for the 2024 US Presidential Election. In addition to the winner and nominees for the respective…
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Will Joe Biden complete his term, run again or if not, which Democrat might?
This article first appeared at casino.org on Monday 13th September, 2021 In my previous article, I explained how US political betting remains dominated by Donald Trump, his family, and their next moves. Following a tumultuous month, his successor is giving him a run for his money. Perhaps the only similarity between the two men is that,…
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What next for the Trumps and how to bet on it.
This article first appeared at casino.org on June 11th 2021 Compared to the record-breaking events of last year, 2021 has been relatively quiet on the US political betting front. Some calm after the storm and a chance for everyone to catch a breath. With Donald Trump expected to return to the campaign trail any day…
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2024 US Election: Ratings for the top-ten listed candidates
Previously Trump quite brilliantly managed to divert from his wrongdoings, using an easily gamed media, his Twitter bully pulpit and later the office of the presidency. All that has gone.
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US Election Review – Result vindicates the betting signals
As regular readers will have noted, its been a few months since my last post. This was due to working non-stop during the US election run-in and a long overdue break once it became clear Biden had won. I wrote dozens of articles and contributed to numerous podcasts during that period for a wide variety…
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Five Reasons Why Comparisons Between Biden And Clinton Don’t Stack Up
A critical difference with 2016 is undecideds or third parties. Their figure amounts to just 6.5% compared to 19% at this stage.
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Where can we find reliable information on the US Election?
If the last election is any sort of guide, there will be moments, spells, of high drama. We will be bombarded by competing narratives and the truth may initially be elusive.