UK
Labour’s Re-election Chances Hugely Underestimated
Labour's polling and prospects have improved significantly since Andy Burnham became leader. Betting markets haven't caught up.
Blog
Every article, interview and podcast episode, newest first.
USA
US Midterm Elections: Markets swinging hard towards the Democrats
My latest analysis of the US midterm elections
International
French Presidential Election: Fourth time lucky for Marine Le Pen?
This article first appeared at gambling.com on August 31st, 2026 There are many elections to analyse and wager on with betting sites before…
UK
Holborn & St. Pancras By-Election: Labour to burst Polanski’s bubble
Keir Starmer's resignation has opened up a key by-election opportunity for the Greens
International
Brazil Presidential Election: Bolsonaro tipped to beat Da Silva
This article first appeared at gambling.com on Friday 2nd October, 2026. The world's seventh most populous country heads to the polls on Su…
USA
Was last week good or bad for Joe Biden?
2023 was an ‘off year’ for national elections, but the results were overwhelmingly good for Democrats. So why do Betfair markets remain dis…
UK
Could 2023 see a new Tory leadership crisis and Boris Johnson return?
The Conservatives changed leader twice in 2022. With the polls pointing to a wipeout, a divided party and pressure from Reform UK, is anoth…
Betting Strategy
Should we bet on the Mandelson Dim Sum Supper forecasts?
Every Christmas, Peter Mandelson and friends make political predictions for the year ahead. Here is how those forecasts compare to the pric…
Media Appearances
Extensive interview on political betting with Smart Betting Club
A long-form conversation with Pete from Smart Betting Club on turning professional, finding angles in political markets and the lessons of…
Podcasts
Episodes 7 and 8 of Get Out The Bet: 2024 market moves
The final two episodes of 2022: Trump’s announcement, whether Biden is a lock for the nomination, the Georgia run-off and an alternative tr…