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New bets added to my #Election2016 portfolio
Slowly but surely liquidity in the various election markets is improving and, as it develops, I’m building my portfolio. Following last week’s bet on Clinton Electoral College Votes, I’ve now added two more pro-Clinton positions on handicap markets, as advised on Twitter yesterday. Another #Election2016 bet: 20 units Hillary Clinton @ 1.73 for Betfair's +49.5…
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Post-debate chat with the WTBQ team
This was one of the highlights of my entire US election tour. After several phone interviews with Frank Truatt and Taylor Sterling, I was invited to be the special guest on two shows, spending the whole morning at WTBQ Radio in Warwick, New York. After their show, I stayed on air with Orange County Legislator…
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Interview with Fox Business on political betting
Earlier this month, I visited the Fox Studios to discuss the concept of political betting, past and current US elections and whether these markets represented a superior guide to predicting the result than opinion polls. Here’s the interview with Benjamin Brown. http://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/2016/09/20/place-your-bet-hillary-clinton-or-donald-trump.html
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#Election2016 interview with TRT World
On Monday, I spoke to TRT World about the impact of Hillary Clinton’s health scare on the election. I argued that, whilst the belated admission of pneumonia damaged her brand, reinforcing perceptions of secrecy and dishonesty, the incident actually presented an opportunity. If she now issues detailed medical records, it would transfer pressure onto Donald…
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Extensive Interview with Secret Betting Club
Here’s my recent interview with the excellent betting advice site www.secretbettingclub.com. In it, we discuss the growth of political betting and how to make it pay, including my historical record across a range of markets in both the UK and USA. We discuss past leadership contests, general elections and Brexit, along with my analysis of the ongoing…
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5 key stories that could shape the late narrative
In terms of both opinion polls and sentiment on Betfair markets, the race for the presidency is closing fast. Hillary Clinton remains the strongest favourite at this stage of a US election this century, but a bad couple of weeks has seen her odds drift back to roughly where they were in July, before gaining a…
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5 reasons why Brexit doesn’t mean Donald Trump will win
The decision of UK voters to quit the European Union did not just send shockwaves through British politics. The world was watching, seeking to understand what it may signify for their own futures. Indeed, it was widely seen as the latest demonstration of an anti-establishment trend sweeping across the Western world. In particular, as I’ve…
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#Election2016 update for “Watching the Hawks”
Yesterday, I was privileged to make a return visit to RT America’s “Watching The Hawks’, to discuss the latest US Election betting news with Tyrel Ventura. We also discussed Brexit – both in terms of the betting and whether the UK will actually leave the European Union. Watch the full interview here
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7 reasons why Donald Trump won’t win
The idea that a celebrity, reality TV star could become US President always seemed faintly ridiculous – until Donald Trump defied the commentariat and betting odds to win the Republican nomination. Betfair punters take a similarly dim view about his general election chances, rating him only 22% likely to beat Hillary Clinton at odds of…
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Scrutiny will eventually destroy Donald Trump
Sceptics of my longstanding, confident prediction that Hillary Clinton will beat Donald Trump in November often ask the same question – “He’s got this far despite you all writing him off, so why can’t Trump prove you all wrong again?”. The question is unarguably valid. Like so many others, I simply couldn’t envisage Trump lasting…