Month: July 2018

  • Brexit betting: Looming deadlock will hand momentum to a Peoples Vote

    Brexit betting: Looming deadlock will hand momentum to a Peoples Vote

    Over the last few extraordinary weeks, the chances about the following have risen. A ‘hard’, no deal Brexit. An extension of Article 50 beyond next March. A new Tory leader and PM. A constitutional crisis, resulting in a ‘Peoples Vote’ or another general election. Another Scottish independence referendum. Even a realignment of the UK party…

  • Theresa May survives for now but can she last the year?

    Theresa May survives for now but can she last the year?

    After an unforgettable day of political drama, Betfair markets were downgrading the likelihood of Theresa May being imminently forced out of office but her position remains perilous. The Prime Minister is rated 42% likely to leave office this year at odds of 2.4. In our tri-monthly market, July-Sept is trading at 3.5 (28%) down, from…