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Betfair Masterclass Series: How to Predict Elections
“The best way to win on elections is good old-fashioned hard work and research in order to understand the particular dynamics of each race. Each election is unique”
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Will the Dominic Cummings scandal ruin Boris Johnson and the Tories?
Even the least political of newspapers can’t get enough of the story and the latest polls are frankly disastrous for the Tories and Boris Johnson.
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Polls Make Grim Reading For Trump and Republicans
The trends we are seeing now are not merely driven by the recent effect of coronavirus but are long-term. They reflect what appears to be a marked shift away from the Republicans since Trump took office.
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Five Narratives That Could Determine the Election
This article first appeared at gamblerspick.com on 19th May 2020 Both the polls and betting odds are remarkably stable. According to the Betfair Exchange, Donald Trump has a 48% chance of re-election at odds of 2.06, compared to 42% for Joe Biden at 2.38. Meanwhile, the constant swirl of rumour and conspiracy surrounding both major…
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Trump Needs a Strong Third Party Challenge But Will He Get It?
There are no polling signals to suggest Trump will improve on his 46.1% vote share. In an extensive recent interview for The Political Trade podcast, former Bill Clinton advisor James Carville booked Trump’s share in November at 44.5%.
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The Electoral Map Looks Bad For Trump – Here’s How To Play It
“Six months out from polling day, the picture for the incumbent is not promising.”
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Democrat VP Betting – My Latest Top-Ten Rankings
“A young, pragmatic female Governor taking on Trump could be of great assistance to the ageing former VP and Whitmer will play well in the Mid-West.”