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An Avalance of Scandal Could Bury Trump
Trump is in very serious trouble…Both he and down-ballot Republicans are staring at catastrophic defeat.
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Is Boris Johnson’s Premiership On Borrowed Time?
“More significant are the criticisms personal to Johnson, emanating from friends, rather than enemies.”
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Trump toxicity could see Republicans Swept away By Another Blue Wave
“November’s elections will be a referendum on him and if so, his dire ratings should deeply alarm Republicans.”
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Extensive Interview on the 2020 US Election With Betfair Australia
“Part 4 goes deep on the 2020 Election. Why I’m backing Biden and in which states he is particularly fancied”.
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Democrat VP Update: Val Demings is Biden’s Perfect Running Mate
“The case for Val Demings is impeccable. A working-class black woman, who rose to become Orlando police chief – in the most important swing state of Florida.”
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Trump’s Authoritarianism and Divisive Tactics Are a Gift to Biden
“Voters are deeply unimpressed by Trump’s leadership and management of the twin crises sweeping America. According to ABC/Ipsos, 66% disapprove of how he is handling the Floyd protests and 60% of coronavirus.”
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Betfair Masterclass Series Part 2: Tips and Strategies to Bet on Politics
The history of leadership contests is littered with bad early favourites. A classic mistake is to overstate the importance of early polls. When members or supporters are first asked, name recognition will be uneven.
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Joe Biden surges to odds-on favouritism
“The significance of these numbers is that Trump is losing his own, normally loyal, supporters. As I’ve argued constantly since 2016, to win again he needs to win new voters – an extremely tall order given record strong disapprovals.”