Month: January 2020

  • Iowa Caucus Betting Preview and Analysis

    Iowa Caucus Betting Preview and Analysis

    This article first appeared at gambling.com on January 29th, 2020 Less than one week out from the Iowa Caucuses – the traditional curtain raiser of primary season – Bernie Sanders is all the rage. He’s into a best-priced 7/4 with Unibet for the Democratic nomination and 9/2 with Coral to become the Next President. Sanders Odds-On For Each Of First Three…

  • Trump’s odds for 2020 are more wrong than ever

    Trump’s odds for 2020 are more wrong than ever

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on January 23rd, 2020 America is watching the impeachment trial of Donald Trump but there is no signal whatsoever from Betfair markets that the process is damaging his chances of re-election. No long-term reader of mine will be surprised to learn that I disagree. Trump odds-on for re-election despite…

  • US Election: Rating the top seven Democrat candidates

    US Election: Rating the top seven Democrat candidates

    A US Election is a marathon like no other. Prior to the main event in November and all the related state, margin and electoral college markets, there are fifty primaries covering each state to resolve the Democrat Candidates. Primary season starts in a fortnight at the Iowa Caucus. Since the Democrat race begun last summer,…

  • US Election – Biden and Sanders lead Democrat nominee list

    US Election – Biden and Sanders lead Democrat nominee list

    This article first appeared at gambling.com on January 20th 2020 When the race to become Democrat Nominee began, a prevailing narrative swiftly emerged. Obsessed with diversity, the base would prefer a woman or person of colour. Ticking both boxes, Kamala Harris was the early favourite in the politics betting markets. A fortnight from the start of the…

  • Next Labour Leader – Starmer ahead on most measures

    Next Labour Leader – Starmer ahead on most measures

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 19th January 2020 Keir Starmer has received a further boost to his campaign to be Next Labour Leader with the release of a new Yougov poll of Labour members. When last taken at the end of 2019, he was estimated to be 61-39 ahead of Rebecca Long-Bailey in…

  • 2020 US Election – Bernie Sanders gaining market momentum

    2020 US Election – Bernie Sanders gaining market momentum

    This article first appeared at betting.betfair.com on 12th January With primary season less than a month away, the 2020 US Election is underway in earnest, There have of course been numerous Democrat debates already but none carries anything like the importance of Tuesday’s six-way debate in Iowa, which will host the opening caucuses on February…

  • Next Labour Leader – History tells us to beware early signals

    Next Labour Leader – History tells us to beware early signals

    The Labour leadership contest has a clear front-runner. Keir Starmer isn’t the first to trade at odds-on to succeed Jeremy Corbyn – Rebecca Long Bailey did so before Christmas, as did Owen Smith back in 2016. However the former Director of Public Prosecutions is the first to hold this position in the betting based on…