Month: May 2019

  • Next Conservative Leader Betting – The top-ten candidates

    Next Conservative Leader Betting – The top-ten candidates

    Will Boris Johnson fall to favourite’s curse? The third substantial gamble in three years is underway on Boris for PM. The first, following David Cameron’s resignation, never even made the starting gate. The second, in the aftermath of the 2017 General Election, became an awful value bet in a matter of hours once it became…

  • European Elections – Back the Greens to surge

    European Elections – Back the Greens to surge

    This article was first published for gambling.com on Wednesday May 22nd. Barring a miracle that would confound every indicator, this week’s European Elections will deliver a historic kicking to Britain’s two main parties. How can we profit from it with the best political betting sites? The very best political betting opportunities have now gone. Those shrewdies that took…

  • European Parliament Elections Predictions and Betting Tips

    European Parliament Elections Predictions and Betting Tips

    This article first appeared on betting.betfair.com on Wednesday 22nd May. Voting has since closed in the UK but the results are not declared until Sunday night and in-play betting is available on Betfair. As we reach the end of another febrile day in Westminster involving Andrea Leadsom’s resignation and more rumours of Theresa May’s imminent…

  • Next Tory Leader Betting – Dominic Raab is perfectly poised

    Next Tory Leader Betting – Dominic Raab is perfectly poised

    With the news that Theresa May will imminently announce her departure date, the starting pistol has been fired on the Next Conservative Leader race. In reality, that kicked off before the final results of the 2017 General Election were in and hardened political punters are doubtless managing several positions already. It has been quite a…

  • European Elections: Back Change UK for a wipeout

    European Elections: Back Change UK for a wipeout

    This piece was first published on Monday 13th May – unfortunately these luxury odds on Change UK and Lib Dems performance are no longer available. Three months ago, they were the biggest story in Westminster. A group of high-profile defectors from Labour and the Conservatives, standing for moderation, centrism and cross-party collaboration in an era…

  • Poll carnage as Tory and Labour tactics implode simultaneously

    Poll carnage as Tory and Labour tactics implode simultaneously

    Perhaps the best way to understand the stalemate since 2016 and increasingly volatile situation is to see Brexit through the prism of party political games. Decades of opportunism is unravelling Long before the referendum, criticising and opposing EU treaties was a cheap win for any ambitious politician from outside government. Accuracy, detail or the ability…

  • 2020 US Election Betting: Is the Biden Bounce for real?

    2020 US Election Betting: Is the Biden Bounce for real?

    The most significant gamble towards the 2020 US Election is underway. In the fortnight since Joe Biden declared his candidacy, the former Vice President has risen to clear second favourite behind Donald Trump, with his odds shortening from 15.0 to a new low of 6.4 this morning. Biden opens up vast early primary lead If…

  • 2019 UK Local Elections Review – Five takeaways

    2019 UK Local Elections Review – Five takeaways

    1 Tory losses far exceeded worst expectations In losing more than 1300 councillors, these results were unarguably awful for the Tories. Yes, they had a long way to fall and a backlash from Brexiters angry at their failure to deliver was predictable. But the scale defied the experts – the higher academic estimate noted in…

  • Local Elections Preview: Lib Dems set to reap rewards of Tory implosion

    Local Elections Preview: Lib Dems set to reap rewards of Tory implosion

    This piece was first published on 30th April 2019. The first of two elections with the potential to blow up British politics takes place on Thursday. Unlike the European Elections which everybody expects to happen at the end of the month, winning candidates will definitely serve their local councils. Tories set for a catastrophic month…

  • Trump impeachment is back on the agenda

    Trump impeachment is back on the agenda

    This piece was first published on 22nd April 2019 When last updating the Donald Trump saga, following the release of Attorney General’s William Barr’s four page summary into Russia investigation, I urged caution in drawing conclusions before the actual Mueller Report was published. Now a heavily redacted version has been released, that analysis is vindicated.…