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New bet: Rubio stake covered, leaving big risk-free bet
One new position to report, as advised on Twitter yesterday. I’ve laid back the 25 units stake from Saturday’s bet on Marco Rubio to be Next President. New bet: I've laid the 25 unit stake back of previous Marco Rubio for president bet at 4.2. Leaves risk free bet to win 105 units. — Political…
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New bets: Why I’m switching away from Clinton, for now
With Iowa too close to call, there’s no short-term betting mileage in our earlierĀ bet In order to secure a profit over the long-term – and my US election portfolio has nine months left to run – one needs to switch positions frequently, banking profits where possible, and also accepting a small lose when prudent. These…
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Interview on Fox with Annie Yu
This was a short interview conducted recently in Washington DC on Fox5, discussing the concept of political betting and how the 2016 US Election would be the biggest ever. http://www.fox5dc.com/good-day/76227749-video
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New bet on Marco Rubio for President: Here’s why.
We’re already on Ted Cruz to be the Republican nominee. Backing Marco Rubio now is the perfect cover. As promised when advising this bet on Twitter yet, some more detailedĀ reasoning. Even after banking a profit from my initial position on Cruz, he could net a further 250 units profit. It makes perfect sense to cover…
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Iowa Caucus Verdict: Oppose odds-on favourite Donald Trump
He has defied all expert opinion and conventional wisdom since the beginning of this race six months ago. One by one, rivals that challenged him have been abused and ended up worse for wear. He has the media dancing to his tune and gives the impression that he could be rewriting the rules of political…
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Iowa flip-flop shows perils and potential of primaries betting
After another bad week for one-time runaway Iowa Caucus favourite Ted Cruz, the betting flip-flop is complete. Donald Trump is now down to 1.6, rated a 63% chance to win the opening stage of the Republican primary process. In the Democrat race, Hillary Clinton is forecast to withstand the Bernie Sanders surge at odds of…
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The 10 best political betting heats of all-time
As the global betting industry evolves, ever more diverse markets are coming on stream, involving subject matters worlds apart from the racetrack, roulette wheel or football stadium. To some, politics is a matter of life or death. To others, its a golden opportunity to make money from predicting elections, leadership contests or even which currency…
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US Primaries Tour: Radio interviews
Throughout my tour of the USA, I’m constantly doing radio interviews. Here’s a selection of them. As I receive copies, all are being added on here. Forward Thinking Radio with Jonathan Aberman, at Sirius XM, Washington DC, Jan 17th http://www.leftjabradio.com/2016/01/17/paul-krishnamurty/ The Steve Hexom Show, for KBUR, Iowa, Jan 18th http://chirb.it/qHzKIy 1 hour…
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GOP Debate Verdict: Absent Trump the runaway winner
A conspiracy theorist might think the row between Fox News and Donald Trump had been manufactured. It ensured that, during a crucial window in which Iowa voters traditionally take a closer look at all the candidates, the entire media focus was on a celebrity and trivia, rather than policy. It also ensured a debate in…
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The Palin Effect: 6 ways her Trump endorsement could impact the election
They are both certain to retain dominance of media coverage, entering a pivotal period. Rarely, if ever, has a political endorsement caused such waves. One could almost hear the cheers in newsrooms and media boardrooms when the news of Palin’s return to the political frontline emerged yesterday. Her speech at Trump’s Iowa rally, littered with…